Pretty good analysis of the Covid spread crisis in China here.
https://twitter.com/brownecfm/status/160...3663085568
TL;DR = Unprecedented R0 of 20 (each new infection leads to an average of 20 more infections) means they couldn't stop this even if the gov't reversed course; millions will contract long covid and secondary infections; overloaded hospitals will not provide timely care, leading to more deaths. Lastly, if you need personal relevance: since key precursor ingredients to many pharmaceuticals come from China, expect significant supply chain disruptions here.
https://twitter.com/brownecfm/status/160...3663085568
TL;DR = Unprecedented R0 of 20 (each new infection leads to an average of 20 more infections) means they couldn't stop this even if the gov't reversed course; millions will contract long covid and secondary infections; overloaded hospitals will not provide timely care, leading to more deaths. Lastly, if you need personal relevance: since key precursor ingredients to many pharmaceuticals come from China, expect significant supply chain disruptions here.
